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fabio's Avatar fabio revised this gist 1722514789. Go to revision

1 file changed, 4 insertions, 3 deletions

Venezuelan_election_odds.py

@@ -3,9 +3,9 @@
3 3 >>> N = 10_058_774
4 4 # Counter of occurrences
5 5 >>> cnt = 0
6 - # Counts how many occurrences we measure of share of
7 - # votes that match their rounded representation to the
8 - # first decimal digit
6 + # Count how many occurrences we measure where the
7 + # shares of votes exactly match their rounded
8 + # representation to the first decimal digit
9 9 >>> for _ in range(N):
10 10 # Share of votes to candidate A,
11 11 # as a random number between 30% and 70%
@@ -26,5 +26,6 @@
26 26 ... if A == A_round and B == B_round and C == C_round:
27 27 ... cnt += 1
28 28 ...
29 + # Print the counter after >10M iterations
29 30 >>> cnt
30 31 0

fabio's Avatar fabio revised this gist 1722509179. Go to revision

1 file changed, 30 insertions

Venezuelan_election_odds.py(file created)

@@ -0,0 +1,30 @@
1 + >>> from random import randint
2 + # Number of voters
3 + >>> N = 10_058_774
4 + # Counter of occurrences
5 + >>> cnt = 0
6 + # Counts how many occurrences we measure of share of
7 + # votes that match their rounded representation to the
8 + # first decimal digit
9 + >>> for _ in range(N):
10 + # Share of votes to candidate A,
11 + # as a random number between 30% and 70%
12 + ... A = randint(round(0.3 * N), round(0.7 * N)) / N
13 + # Share of votes to candidate C (others),
14 + # as a random number between 1% and 10%
15 + ... C = randint(round(0.01 * N), round(0.1 * N)) / N
16 + # Share of votes to candidate B,
17 + # 100% - votes(A) - votes(C)
18 + ... B = 1 - A - C
19 + # Get the values of A, B and C rounded to the
20 + # first decimal
21 + ... A_round = round(round(A/N, 3) * N)
22 + ... B_round = round(round(B/N, 3) * N)
23 + ... C_round = round(round(C/N, 3) * N)
24 + # If the rounded representations of A, B and C
25 + # match their actual values, increase the counter
26 + ... if A == A_round and B == B_round and C == C_round:
27 + ... cnt += 1
28 + ...
29 + >>> cnt
30 + 0
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